OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook

Frequency :
Annual
ISSN :
1999-1142 (online)
ISSN :
1563-0447 (print)
DOI :
10.1787/19991142
Hide / Show Abstract

OECD’s annual statistics and projections for major agricultural commodities. It analyses how global and domestic forces are shaping agricultural markets over the next decade and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the agricultural outlook.  After presenting a broad overview of the situation and setting out the assumptions used, the report presents detailed projections for production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for OECD countries as well as selected non-member countries. Commodities covered include cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meat, and dairy.  Since 2005, it has been published as the OECD/FAO Agricultural Outlook.

Also available in: French, Spanish
 
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2004

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2004 You do not have access to this content

Click to Access: 
    http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031e.pdf
  • PDF
  • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004_agr_outlook-2004-en
  • READ
Author(s):
OECD
Publication Date :
07 July 2004
Pages :
244
ISBN :
9789264020092 (PDF) ; 9789264020085 (print)
DOI :
10.1787/agr_outlook-2004-en

Hide / Show Abstract

This tenth edition of the OECD Agricultural Outlook analyses how global and domestic forces are shaping agricultural markets to 2013.  It highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the agricultural outlook.  After presenting a broad overview of the situation and setting out the assumptions used, the report  presents detailed projections for production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for OECD countries as well as Argentina, Brazil, China, and Russia. Commodities covered include cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meat, and dairy.  Two special chapters cover medium term market impacts of the 2003 EU Common Agricultural Policy reform and Indian agricultural policy challenges and market prospects.

Also available in: French

Expand / Collapse Hide / Show all Abstracts  

  • Mark Click to Access
  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec002.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/outlook-in-brief_agr_outlook-2004-2-en
    • READ
    Outlook in Brief

    Broad-based income growth in both OECD and Non-member economies, moderate population growth and low inflation lead to higher per capita incomes and consumption gains world-wide. Consumption in the Non-member economies is expected to grow at rates much faster than those of the OECD area, especially for dairy products such as butter, cheese and whole milk powder as well as livestock products. Consumption gains for these products are faster than growth in population providing the potential to reduce malnutrition and hunger. In the mature markets of the OECD area, where ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec003.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/overview_agr_outlook-2004-3-en
    • READ
    Overview

    For the first time, this year’s Agricultural Outlook contains projections over a ten-year period to 2013 and includes an expanded European Union of 25 member countries. The Outlook this year occurs against a macroeconomic background that is more optimistic than that of the last two years. Economic growth in most OECD member countries is expected to be higher, led by the resurgent growth in the United States and its NAFTA trading partners, Canada and Mexico. Japan too, is expected to post solid growth numbers in 2003, and a path of moderate growth is expected following years of stagnation, even though this is anticipated to lessen in the medium-term. Growth in the euro zone in 2003 is lagging that of other major OECD ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec004.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/economic-and-policy-assumptions_agr_outlook-2004-4-en
    • READ
    Economic and Policy Assumptions

    Restrained optimism prevails for a recovery in the world economy as growth momentum takeshold in North America, Asia and the United Kingdom. Continental Europe has begun to rebound, but has shown a more hesitant recovery. Major Non-member economies such as Brazil and China continue to enjoy substantial economic activity and growth, as does Russia in the near term ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec005.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/cereals_agr_outlook-2004-5-en
    • READ
    Cereals

    World wheat and coarse grain nominal prices are expected to increase to 2005 and thereafter to show little change until 2013, but to continue their long-term decline in real terms. Rice prices to increase both in nominal and real terms over the same period ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec006.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/oilseeds_agr_outlook-2004-6-en
    • READ
    Oilseeds

    After a sharp initial drop, oilseed prices are projected to remain flat in nominal terms to 2013, with lower oilseed meal prices, higher vegetable oil prices and with all real prices continuing to decline ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec007.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/sugar_agr_outlook-2004-7-en
    • READ
    Sugar

    The fundamentals of the world sugar market are expected to remain bearish over the Outlook period, with world raw sugar prices to remain in a band of USD 7-9 cents/lb (USD160-200/t) over the period to 2013/14 ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec008.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/meat_agr_outlook-2004-8-en
    • READ
    Meat

    Reflecting import bans put in place since the occurrence of several cases of BSE in North America, the Pacific market price for beef is expected to rise by 33% while the US domestic price will fall by 14% in 2004 ..

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec009.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/dairy_agr_outlook-2004-9-en
    • READ
    Dairy

    World dairy product prices firmed considerably in 2003 but are projected to increase only modestly in nominal terms over the Outlook period. OECD countries are expected to contribute about 22% of the projected increase in global milk production of 121 million tonnes; with most of the OECD growth occurring in Oceania ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec010.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/medium-term-market-impacts-of-the-2003-eu-common-agricultural-policy-reform_agr_outlook-2004-10-en
    • READ
    Medium Term Market Impacts of the 2003 EU Common Agricultural Policy Reform

    The Council of Agricultural Ministers of the European Union (EU) reached agreement, in Luxembourg on 26 June 2003, on a reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), based on the Commission’s proposals presented on 23 January 2003 (CEC, 2003a). It includes adjustments to the common market organisations (CMOs) for crops, beef and dairy products as well as the introduction of a Single Farm Payments largely decoupled from current production decisions. In addition, it covers Rural Development Regulation measures and a "financial discipline" mechanism to keep CAP spending in line with existing budgetary ceilings. While a broader discussion of the CAP Reform decision is ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec011.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/indian-agriculture_agr_outlook-2004-11-en
    • READ
    Indian Agriculture

    India, with the second largest population in the world, potentially represents one of the most important markets for bulk agricultural commodities and agricultural exports. However, in a number of cases, access to this growing market has been constrained by India’s agricultural and trade policies. The overriding policy goal of self-sufficiency in food production based on high domestic production driven largely by domestic subsidies, in the form of price support and large input subsidies, and reinforced by high import tariffs have limited trade opportunities. This policy regime, however, is widely perceived as being neither sustainable nor compatible with the changed circumstances and challenges now facing the Indian agricultural economy ...

  • Click to Access: 
      http://oecd.metastore.ingenta.com/content/5104031ec012.pdf
    • PDF
    • http://www.keepeek.com/Digital-Asset-Management/oecd/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2004/statistical-tables_agr_outlook-2004-12-en
    • READ
    Statistical Tables
  • Add to Marked List